Thursday, August 1, 2019

July 30, 2019
8:00 a.m. - 10:30 a.m.
Good news at last! Social Security reform is racing towards final approval; a comprehensive trade agreement between the European Union and Mercosul members has been concluded; The PPI program (Programa de Parcerias de Investimento) is off to an impressive start; BNDES is reducing disbursements, and private credit markets are “crowding in.” Core inflation is 3.8% YoY, and long-term expectations are stable, creating room for an accommodative monetary policy. External accounts are healthy, given a projected 2019 trade surplus of $55 billion and FDI inflows of $80 billion. The fiscal situation is stable, thanks to the “budget ceiling law” passed under the Temer administration, now supported by Social Security reform. Fiscal deficits do remain, and public sector debt is a worrying 80% of GDP, but debt stabilization now appears achievable.
The outlook for the real economy is less positive. Real GDP contracted in Q1/19, with full year growth of 0.8% forecasted. Investment has collapsed and not restarted, despite optimism for the new administration’s policies. After 4 years of recession and very low growth, the poor economic outlook has mobilized a call from politicians for “emergency” measures, even as the model of the state as an engine of growth is fully discredited. The question is whether the Social Security reform, the PPI program, and perhaps tax reform can galvanize the private sector to initiate a robust investment cycle.
Now is the time for an update on Brazil’s prospects, both economic and political. Please join our outstanding panel for what is sure to be an enlightening and insightful exploration of all these issues.
Agenda and Speakers
8:00 a.m. to 8:30 a.m. - Registration, Breakfast and Networking Session
8:30 a.m. to 10:30 a.m. - Presentation, Panel Discussion and Q&A

Paulo Vieira da CunhaPartnerVERBANK Consulting, LLC
Cassiana FernandezChief Economist for BrazilJPMorgan
Roberto SecemskiBrazil EconomistBarclays
Andrea AlecciEmerging Markets EconomistCitadel
Samar MaziadVice President, Senior AnalystMoody's Investor Service
Mouricio MouraPresidentIdeia Big Data USA
Introductory Remarks
Maurizio Levi-MinziPartner, Debevoise & Plimpton LLP
Registration Information
Corporate Members: Free ($35 for no shows who do not give 24hr notice)
Non-Members: $50
Debevoise & Plimpton 
919 Third Avenue
(Entrance on 55th Street, between 2nd and Third Avenues)
35th Floor
New York, NY 10022

Brazilian-American Chamber of Commerce  485 Madison Avenue, Suite 401, New York, New York 10022, United States 

All On The Line
The Shape Of Things: TX-02.

The district:
Texas' gerrymandered 2nd Congressional District.

What's the deal?
"Texas is a place where we have to win. This is doable. This is possible."
-- Eric Holder, July 5, 2019
"Texas is turning into a toss-up!" You've probably heard some form of this over the past year or so -- and when it comes to statewide elections, it's true! Growing populations in places like Houston, Austin, and Dallas; strong candidates; and a lot of grassroots energy have made Texas' elections competitive.

But in some of Texas' congressional districts, that's a different story -- one that starts with the 2010 Census, when the Republicans controlled the state legislature and manipulated Texas' congressional districts to retain their grasp on power. Their cheating in 2010 has worked to their party's benefit for nearly a decade: During last year's midterm elections, Republicans secured four more congressional seats in Texas than the vote share would suggest.

Help All On The Line un-rig districts like this across the country. Adopt TX-02 today with a small monthly donation and stand up to gerrymandering.

How bad is TX-02?
In late 2018, Houstonia Magazine's Morgan Kinney described its shape like this: "A boa constrictor mid-meal, strangulating electoral competition in a district snaking improbably from Kingwood to Klein to the Med Center." If you're not familiar with Houston, here's all you need to know: This district has been intentionally drawn in a way that keeps Republican strongholds and slices up Democratic voters.

What does that mean for the people living in the district?
This gerrymandered district has almost guaranteed Republican electoral victories in the state every two years. This means the fairly moderate populace around Texas' largest city is now represented in the U.S. House by Dan Crenshaw, a Republican who supports extreme, far-right positions. More importantly, it means Republicans have intentionally diluted these moderate voices and created incentives for an ideologue like Crenshaw to unfairly win elections.

Crenshaw has voted with President Trump 93.9% of the time, consistently going against common-sense policies supported by most Americans. He has:
  • Opposed efforts to create a pathway to citizenship for DREAMers, young DACA recipients who came to the United States as children;
  • Voted against a bill to lower prescription drug costs and stop Obamacare sabotage; and
  • Opposed legislation that would have implemented universal background checks on all gun sales, which 90% of Americans support.
This is how gerrymandering hurts all of us -- with congressmen like Dan Crenshaw who cater to the extremes and don't represent America as a whole. All On The Line is fighting to un-rig districts like TX-02 nationwide. Adopt TX-02 with a monthly donation to support All On The Line today:

If you've saved your payment information with ActBlue Express, your donation will go through immediately:

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All On The Line

Just minutes ago, the U.S. Supreme Court issued a big ruling on gerrymandering.

The Court ruled in cases from North Carolina (Rucho v. Common Cause) and Maryland (Benisek v. Lamone) that federal courts cannot limit partisan gerrymandering -- a ruling that means self-interested politicians can effectively continue to manipulate maps without federal courts intervening.

This is the wrong decision.

But we never thought one Supreme Court decision would solve the problem of gerrymandering or end this fight. That's why All On The Line has been building a grassroots army of supporters in every state in the country -- a team we're training to take on gerrymandering at the local and state level.

Here's what All On The Line will continue to do:
  • Train local activists and organizers to become redistricting leaders;
  • Educate communities on how they can demand fair maps from elected officials and stakeholders; and
  • Organize and mobilize so self-interested politicians can't cut deals, choose their own voters, or guarantee their own re-election.
With today's Supreme Court decision, our work has never been more important. Can you chip in to help our team keep making progress against gerrymandering?

If you've saved your payment information with ActBlue Express, your donation will go through immediately.

Express Donate: $15
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All On The Line
Hey Sula -- I'm Mallory and I just joined the All On The Line team as the Training Director.

When we say we're building a strong grassroots movement across the nation, we mean it. The All On The Line team is growing and we have folks on the ground across the country who know your states, know the redistricting landscape, know the path to creating real change.

That's why I was so excited to kick off my new role here with an All On The Line team retreat! Our team, including folks like Liz from Wisconsin, Gen from Texas, and Theron from Georgia, came together this week to map out our game plan for fair maps.

There's not a one size fits all solution to fixing gerrymandering that will work in every state. But across the country, there's one thing that remains the same: grassroots organizing.

When President Obama called on you to help build a movement for progress -- whether to expand access to quality, affordable health care, or fight for common-sense gun legislation, or take action to combat climate change -- you answered the call. So, you know better than anyone the impact organizing can have, but also how much a campaign depends on regular folks to volunteer their time and donate money to train, recruit, and mobilize its volunteers.

I have big plans for our training program. I want to help educate as many folks as possible on the basics of redistricting and the tactics we'll be using to build a movement and hold elected officials accountable. Will you help me make these training dreams come true by making a contribution to All On The Line ahead of our end-of-month deadline? 

If you've saved your payment information with ActBlue Express, your donation will go through immediately.

Express Donate: $15
Express Donate: $35
Express Donate: $50
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Whether we're calling elected officials, advocating for reform, or making sure we have an accurate census count, we need to build a strong volunteer base to make it happen.

That's where I come in! Want to learn how to write a letter to the editor? I'll have a guide for that! Interested in organizing a meeting with an elected official? I'll host a webinar for that! Want to get connected with activists in your state? We'll have in-person trainings for that!

Some folks have been community organizers for decades. And others are just getting in the game now. No matter when your organizing story began, the tools, technology, and resources to make an impact in our communities are always changing -- which is why I'm here as a resource!

At the end of the day, our ability to make an impact relies on our budget. Will you make a donation to help the AOTL training program before our end-of-month deadline?

Spending time with our AOTL State Directors this week got me really fired up and ready to organize. And I'm excited to help train the crew of grassroots organizers who will be fighting to save democracy and achieve fair maps.

Let's go do this thing!
-- Mallory

Mallory Long
AOTL Training Director

All On The Line is the grassroots advocacy campaign supported by the National Redistricting Action Fund. 

Contributions or gifts to The National Redistricting Action Fund are not tax deductible.


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